County Faces $3 Billion Transportation Gap
Over next decade, Fairfax County has $8.1 billion in needs, expects $5.1 billion in revenue.
Fairfax County faces an estimated $300 million per year gap in transportation funding for the next 10 years.
From now until fiscal year 2021, the county has $8.1 billion in needs but anticipates only $5.1 billion in revenues, said Tom Biesiadny, director of the county's Department of Transportation.
That gap leaves a $3 billion deficit over 10 years, or $300 million per year.
The federal and Virginia governments have no money to give, Biesiadny said as he outlined the funding woes during this week's meeting of the county transportation committee.
As a result, the county wants community feedback on ways to increase revenues for much-needed projects.
Officials have posted a list of ways to raise the funds on the county website. Ideas on the table include a 1 percent sales tax on services that could bring in an estimated $367 million per year, or a .5 percent income tax for an estimated $229 million per year.
Board Chairman Sharon Bulova stressed during the meeting the county didn't prefer any one option to another. Aside from the 20 options outlined in the program, projects could also be scaled back.
"I don't think we want to make people believe that … the whole purpose of this is to push new taxes," she said. "The whole purpose of this is to show what the transportation situation is."
Without new revenue sources, projects would fall by the wayside.
"We're not doing this because we want to raise taxes," she said. "If there's not a source of funding to pay for it, this stuff will not get done."
Fairfax's major needs lie in the redevelopment of Tysons Corner, traffic-calming measures as a result of the Base Realignment and Closure (BRAC) process and transit projects for Dulles Rail and South County.
The county is launching an outreach program in which residents have from Sept. 24 to Oct. 12 to provide input on how to fix the funding issue.
The outreach program comes weeks after Bulova and leaders from 38 counties, cities and towns in Fairfax County, Richmond and Hampton Roads sent a letter (attached) to Gov. Bob McDonnell (R) urging the state to meet its responsibility of meeting transportation infrastructure funding needs.
According to the letter and Tuesday's presentation, Virginia has ranked first or second on CNBC's Best States for Business for the past few years. But in 2012, the state slipped to third and dropped from No. 10 to No. 33 in quality of transportation and infrastructure.
"We have a real maintenance challenge and that affects not just Fairfax County, but it affects everybody in Virginia," Bulova said of the letter.
And expectations for transportation improvements are still high, Sup. Michael Frey (Sully District) said.
"I get people all the time saying, 'When are you going to pave my road?'" he said during Tuesday's meeting. "And it doesn't matter how many times you say, 'No money.'"
The county's outreach program, deemed a "Countywide Dialogue on Transportation," kicks off Sept. 24.
The first of nine meetings is sechduled for 7 p.m. Monday at the Springfield Governmental Center, 6140 Rolling Road, Springfield.
Click here to find a meeting in your neighborhood.
Residents will have the opportunity to take an online survey here from Sept. 24 to Oct. 12.
Navid Roshan
6:55 pm on Thursday, September 20, 2012
We could learn to do more with less. Instead of widening Route 7 which runs parallel to Silver Line and DTR why not see how traffic adjusts instead of saying more pavement is always better.
Same thing with plenty of the "needed projects" on the list. Most of those who are complaining about the traffic are from OUTSIDE the county and dont even pay taxes to Fairfax, like the Route 7 whining coming out of Loudoun County residents.
Do more with less. Put off building those extra 2 lanes for an extra year, it will give you a chance to see if its really needed. Pausing construction will likely help traffic flow more than continuing it anyways by getting construction obstruction out of the way in perfectly good lanes.
Or we could demand the state(who receives 11 billion from NOVA but returns back only 2 billion in assistance) provide more or we will secede.... but thats just a pipe dream I suppose.
T-Bird
9:44 am on Friday, September 21, 2012
Sorry, but you're wrong. While I also don't want to pay for projects that are not needed, just not building anything does not help. This area is full of roads where exactly that happened. Where construction was deferred. And that is exactly what got us into this mess in the first place. Your null option theory, while simplistic and popularist, is not grounded in reality. Things need to be done, but they need to be prioritized and then cut off where the funding ends. Everything below that line either doesn't get done, or alternate funding is found for it. I don't think that should be a blanket tax on everybody, but an increase in the gas tax, which hasn't been raised since 1988.
Bus Rider
8:27 pm on Thursday, September 20, 2012
Interesting that FFX approved to committing money to a streetcar on Columbia Pike when a bendy bus will move the same amount of people at the same speed for much less money. Seems like they can't prioritize at all.
Catherine
4:01 pm on Sunday, September 30, 2012
That was in Arlington County, not Fairfax County.
SuperG
7:39 pm on Sunday, September 30, 2012
@Catherine
A small portion of the Columbia Pike light rail is in Fairfax County (near Skyline) and has been approved by the BoS, but yes the vast majority is in Arlington. The county is expected to fund roughly $28 million of the cost.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/local/dc-politics/fairfax-supervisors-endorse-columbia-pike-streetcar/2012/07/31/gJQA72eQNX_story.html
Shreff
9:53 pm on Thursday, September 20, 2012
Here is my take: We have bought into the axiom that it is necessary to build road capacity to make an easy commute for the 7-9 AM and 5-7 PM drivers. The rest of the time, there are seas of unused asphalt. For example, drive 66 between Manassas and Fairfax at 2 AM. Maybe we should rethink that. Let it pinch a little, and it will speed up the logical transition to telecommute, staggered hours, and 24 hour operation. Then, we may just find we have all the roads we really need for the next century. But if we keep propping up the rush hour mentality, we are going to pave our way out of a livable environment as well as a workable budget.
xTensx
8:38 am on Friday, September 21, 2012
Good luck getting people to work rolling shifts or 24 hour operations. Why do you think there's a fuss every time there's a proposal to change school hours - rush hour and business hours are designed to nicely fit in with school hours. No parent would work rolling shifts or take late-night hours and never see their children; and based on the Washingtonian survey of executives and management, an overwhelming majority are married and with children. So good luck making that catch on.
Not to mention it's a silly idea to work late-night shifts just because Virginia has pathetic public transportation compared to peers.
How about people give up their big yards and move closer to work. My wife and I used to live in Tysons. We now live in a smaller townhouse 2 miles away from the office and never see 66, 267, or 495. Most people living out in Sterling don't need an acre of land and five bedrooms; yet they complain about the commute nonstop.
T-Bird
10:01 am on Friday, September 21, 2012
Sorry Shreff, but your idea is a terrible one. While I also don't want to pay for projects that are not needed, just not building anything does not help. This area is still in an active expansion, growing both in density and area. That means traffic is only going to get worse, not better. You either have to provide public transportation, or enough roads for everyone to commute. This area doubled down on road, not rail, a long time ago before most of us were here, and now we are left holding the bag. And if you provide neither, you wind up with the Beltway and Los Angeles.
This area is full of roads where construction on the roads was deferred. Like the Fairfax County Parkway. Deferred for 30 years while the southern part of the county stagnated. Where just getting out of Burke was like breaking out of Lorton. The mentaility of "do nothing" is exactly what got us into this mess in the first place. Your null option theory, while simplistic and popularist, is not grounded in reality. Things need to be done, but they need to be prioritized and then cut off where the funding ends. Everything below that line either doesn't get done, or alternate funding is found for it. I don't think that should be a blanket tax on everybody, but an increase in the gas tax, which hasn't been raised since 1988.
Joe Bagadonuts
2:56 pm on Sunday, September 30, 2012
Shreff: +1. Those billions of road costs directly subsidize those who have made a personal decision to live in cheaper, outlying areas, so they can have larger houses and more acreage. This is classic liberal overreach. Government is not the answer to every problem - certainly not this one. Massive road expansion projects just further delay the real solution, which is gradual evolution of many factors, including: more companies and gov agencies offering flex time, more telecommuting, more skype meetings, and a natural, evolutionary shift away from "we all live down here, work up there, and commute on lockstep, timeclock schedules". Does that conflict with your life choices (both your wife and you live in Spotsylvania, work at a USG job in DC and have kids in daycare and school, 40 miles from where you work)? Then change your life. Make some personal sacrifices that will ultimately improve your quality of life. Move close to where you work. One parent stays home. Etc.
Bob Bruhns
9:58 pm on Thursday, September 20, 2012
Oh lovely, a $3 Billion transportation funding gap. What can our leaders do?
Well, our so-called 'leaders' could START by taking control of Dulles Rail Phase II before MWAA approves double-priced bids and locks us into generations of payments just for the overcost in Phase II.
We are already locked into paying the slightly lower, but still massively excessive prices for Phase I.
Our so-called 'leaders' have talked about lowering the tolls, but gee - they never say how they might do that. We might surmise:
1) They will have Santa Claus and the Tooth Fairy pay the tolls down.
2) They will make money fall out of the sky to pay down the tolls.
3) The federal government will provide Tifia LOANS, and then they will forget about getting paid back.
4) The federal government will provide Tifia LOANS, and then Virginia will pay them back with tax funds.
5) The federal government will provide Tifia LOANS, and then Fairfax and Loudoun Counties will pay them back with tax funds.
Face it, folks - it's going to be #4 or #5. My bet is #5.
T-Bird
9:48 am on Friday, September 21, 2012
Bob, they can start by taking over the bloated school system. I'm betting the skim the execs take and waste on junk over 10 years comes pretty close to $3 Billion.
Bob Bruhns
10:59 am on Friday, September 21, 2012
Certainly our leaders need to look at EVERY ripoff that is going on. And so do our taxpayers and voters.
Phase II of the Silver Line is a priority now, because soon the bids will be approved by the same MWAA that allowed the project cost estimates to get jacked up to nearly two times what the job should cost - and as soon as those papers are signed, we will be locked into this ripoff.
We are already locked into the Phase I ripoff - let's stop the Phase II ripoff while we still can!
Dave Webster
2:03 am on Friday, September 21, 2012
Were these figures available when the opt in on Phase 2 of the Silver Line was being debated? I don't recall seeing them. We have some serious problems in Fairfax County already with the environmental compliance requirements, e.g. Chesapeake Bay and the Accotink Creek worm plan. We also still face significant unfunded retirement liabilities for public employees and a disastrous reduction in our jobs base should something go wrong with sequestration. If Phase 2 comes in over budget and WMATA's annual subsidiy requirements from Fairfax County to maintain the Silver Line are higher than expected, this does not bode well for us.
Bob Bruhns
10:46 am on Friday, September 21, 2012
I have no doubt that this was well known for at least the past year. IMHO the plan with the Silver Line was (and still is) to hide the bad news, and hit us with surprise after surprise for many years. Our 'leaders' know that we would reject their spending plans if we knew what they will actually cost, and who will actually pay for them (the taxpayers, of course).
The taxpaying public obviously doesn't remember any of this from week to week. There are still two US DOT IG audits going on - the one announced on June 21, 2011 that has exposed the MWAA Board as a big clown show, and the super-secret one announced on March 15, 2012 that is looking into the financial soundness and risk of the Phase II plans. These audits used to be reported in the news - until the March 15, 2012 audit, that has NEVER been mentioned in any news article I have seen. The $53 million FTA blunder of July 3, 2011 was never reported in any news article I have seen either. I saw exactly one quote that even hinted at it - and it was just a random quote that contained a tangential reference that nobody would even have noticed unless they were looking for it. But that article seems to have vanished from the internet - an interesting feat.
The people behind these little mysteries can always just pack up and leave the area when the disaster they are creating gets to be too much for them. We can too, of course - but WE didn't pocket a few Billion dollars of overcharge while all this was going on.
Ron
6:41 am on Friday, September 21, 2012
Tax, tax. tax, tax! That's the only way Fairfax county says we can solve problems. We are already over-taxed. How come there is no mention of cutting spending? It's because we have the same old approach to solving problems, tax them to death!
Dave
11:06 am on Friday, September 21, 2012
Real estate values are on the rise and with them property tax revenue will also rise and close the gap. I've been in this county for 40 years and if it's one thing I've learned it's that the county will ALWAYS spend more than it takes in. Every year there are bond issues on the ballot for untold millions for bloated projects and residents gleefully approve them. There are 5 parks within 2 miles of my home which get very low use. Yet just about yearly the county wants to buy more land and build more parks. What the county NEEDS and what it WANTS are two different things. We always want more than we need. Raising property taxes or local sales taxes are NOT the answer. Any additional revenue will be immediately obligated and we'll be back at the same point - where Fairfax County NEEDS another 3 billion over the following 10 years. If you feed the monster he will demand more.
Bob Bruhns
11:03 pm on Sunday, September 30, 2012
People need to understand that tax revenues don't simply go up and down with property assessments. Local government determines the tax rate shortly after the assessments are released, and the tax rate adjusts the resulting revenues to match the budget that is also determined by the same local government.
The problem for the past decade or so, is that property tax rates stayed high, while assessments went up. This was not some random coincidence, it was a choice by our goverment leaders to increase tax revenues, in order to have more money to spend.
Do people want ever increasing real-dollar tax? You tell me. I thought there was supposed to be some economy of scale, but it certainly is not evident.
No Toll Increase
11:15 am on Friday, September 21, 2012
Traffic will get really bad if the unaccountable MWAA board continues committing highway robbery and reduces toll road usership by 25%, as projected, even as the population continues to grow. They will continue to drive up the costs of commuting on the Dulles Toll Road unless Virginia takes control back.
Virginia State Senator Richard Black is asking Gov. Bob McDonnell to have VDOT take the DTR back from MWAA- this is a huge step towards slowing or stopping toll increases. https://docs.google.com/open?id=0B64IfZTFiYIAeGo1dmpWVjlhMUE
Toll Road users and local residents need to contact Gov. McDonnell and ask him to take our road back. He can be reached at (804) 786-2211 or http://www.governor.virginia.gov/AboutTheGovernor/contactGovernor.cfm
For more information, visit www.NoTOLLincrease.org
Vincent Careatti
12:29 pm on Friday, September 21, 2012
Scrap the Columbia pike tooterville trolley. Envision this ..a seven foot wide trolley in the Center of the pike next to a loading platform and another seven foot wide trolley. Have you driven the pike when there are four metro busses following one another? How will riders get to their final destinations? The 16c to culmore 16A,16c, 16b and16d. Where does Arlington/fairfax propose to place the transfer stations? Busses will still be needed to take riders to and from the street car platforms. The streetcar will begin in pentagon city. How will the thousands of riders get from the pentagon to pentagon city. VDOT can't keep the pike clear during a snow storm. What are the provisions to make the streetcar running when it's most neede? Ditch the footervile trolley
Bob Bruhns
2:38 pm on Sunday, September 30, 2012
Hmm, a $3 Billion dollar transportation shortfall in Fairfax County. Let's see, this means we already know how to charge $5.1 Billion (over the coming decade) to an average of about 1,130,000 people (that's about $4,500 per man woman and child), but now we find that we need another $3 Billion (that's ANOTHER $2,700 from every man, woman and child). So we actually need a total of $8.1 Billion - that's about $7,200 from every man, woman and child living in Fairfax County. Over ten years, that's an average of $720 from every man, woman and child every year, for transportation alone.
Gee, I wonder if anybody thought of that, when they approved the near-double cost of the Silver Line. Taxpayers should have paid attention to the near-double prices of Dulles Rail construction, because those costs are headed home to roost.
http://www.bruhns.us/civic/DullesRail/Dulles-Rail---Silver-Line-overcost-report---Bruhns.pdf